ÕÒÂÛÎÄÍø > ֤ȯ½ðÈÚÂÛÎÄ > ÆÚ»õÊг¡ÂÛÎÄ >

ͳ¼ÆÑ§ÔÚ֤ȯÆÚ»õÊг¡ÖеÄÓ¦ÓÃ(2)(1)

Õª¡¡Òª£ºÀî´ÓÖéµÈ.ͳ¼ÆÑ§ÔÚ֤ȯÆÚ»õÊг¡ÖÐµÄ Ó¦Óà £¬¶þ.¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñÖ¸Êý(ÉÏ)
¡¡¡¡±¾ÎĽéÉÜÁË¹ÉÆ±¼Û¸ñÖ¸Êý±àÖÆµÄÒ»°ãÔ­ÒòºÍ ·½·¨ ºó£¬Öص㽲Êöлª²ÆÎñ¹ÉÖ¸µÄ±àÖÆ¡£
¹Ø¼ü´Ê£º¹ÉƱ¡¡¼Û¸ñÖ¸Êý
ÖÐͼ·ÖÀàºÅ£ºO212¡¡C8¡¡F830¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡ ÎÄÏ× ±êʶÂ룺A
ÎÄÕ±àºÅ£º1002¡ª1566(2000)02¡ª¡ª0051¡ª¡ª09

The Application of Statistics on Securities and Futures Markets (2)
Index number of securities (1)

LI Cong-zhu ZHENG Wen-tang WANG Ling-hua CHE You-liang
£¨North China University of Technology,100041£©

Abstract¡¡In this paper,some principles and methods are introduced,Xin Hua index numbe of securities is studies mainly after.

¡¡¡¡ÖÐÑëµç̨Îç¼äÐÂÎÅ30·ÖÖ¸µ¼»¦Éî¹ÉƱÐÐÇéʱ£¬Ê×Ïȱ¨µ¼ÉÏÖ¤×ÛºÏÖ¸Êý¿ªÅÌÊǶàÉÙ£¬Ç°ÊÐÊÕÅÌÊǶàÉÙ£»ÉîÖ¤³É·ÝÖ¸Êý¿ªÅÌÊǶàÉÙ£¬Ç°ÊÐÊÕÅÌÊǶàÉٵȡ£×ÛºÏÖ¸Êý£¬³É·ÝÖ¸ÊýÊÇʲô£¬ËüÓкÎÒâÒ壬±¾ÎľÍÀ´»Ø´ðÕâЩ ÎÊÌâ ¡£Îª´Ë£¬ÎÒÃÇÏÈ´Ó¹ÉÆ±¼Û¸ñÖ¸ÊýµÄ»ù´¡ÖªÊ¶Ì¸Æð¡£
¡¡¡¡¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñÖ¸Êý(ÒÔÏÂÓÐʱ¼ò³Æ¹É¼ÛÖ¸Êý)ÊÇÎÒÃÇͳ¼ÆÑ§ÀïÖ¸ÊýÖеÄÒ»ÖÖ¡£Ëü·´Ó³Ò»¶¨Ê±ÆÚÄÚijһ֤ȯÊг¡ÉÏ¹ÉÆ±¼Û¸ñµÄ×ۺϱ䶯·½ÏòºÍ³Ì¶ÈµÄ¶¯Ì¬Ïà¶ÔÊý¡£ÓÉÓÚ ÕþÖÎ ¾­¼Ã £¬Êг¡¼°ÐÄÀíµÈ¸÷ÖÖÒòËØµÄ Ó°Ïì £¬Ã¿Öֹɯ±µÄ¼Û¸ñ¾ù´¦ÓÚ²»¶Ï±ä¶¯Ö®ÖУ»¶øÊг¡ÉÏÿʱÿ¿Ì¶¼ÓÐÐí¶à¹ÉƱÔÚ½øÐн»Òס£ÎªÁË´ÓÖÚ¶à¸ö±ð¹ÉƱ·×·±¸´Ôӵļ۸ñ±ä¶¯ÖÐÅжϺͰÑÎÕÕû¸ö¹ÉƱÊг¡µÄ¼Û¸ñ±ä¶¯Ë®Æ½Óë±ä¶¯Ç÷ÊÆ£¬ÃÀ¹úµÀ.Çí˹¹«Ë¾µÄ´´Ê¼ÈËÖ®Ò»²é¶û˹.ºàÀû.µÀµÚÒ»¸öÌá³öÁËÆ½¾ù¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñÖ¸Êý×÷ΪºâÁ¿³ß¶È£¬Õâ¾ÍÊǾøºÊ¢ÃûµÄµÀ.Çí˹ƽ¾ù¹É¼ÛÖ¸Êý¡£Èç½ñ£¬ÊÀ½ç¸÷¹úµÄ¹É¼ÛÊг¡¼¸ºõ¶¼±àÓÐ¹ÉÆ±¼Û¸ñÖ¸Êý£¬½ÏÓÐÓ°ÏìµÄ³ýµÀ.Çí˹ָÊýÒÔÍ⣬»¹ÓÐÃÀ¹úµÄ±ê×¼.ÆÕ¶û¹É¼ÛÖ¸Êý(ÓÐʱ¼ÇΪS&P500Ö¸Êý)¡¢Å¦Ô¼Ö¤È¯½»Ò×ËùƱ¼ÛÖ¸Êý£¬Ó¢¹úµÄ¡¶ ½ðÈÚ Ê±±¨¡·¹É¼ÛÖ¸Êý¡¢ÈÕ±¾µÄ¾­¼ÃÐÂÎÅÉçµÀÊÏÆ½¾ù¹É¼ÛÖ¸ÊýÒÔ¼°Ïã¸ÛµÄºãÉúÖ¸ÊýµÈ¡£¹É¼ÛÖ¸Êý¿ÉÒÔΪͶ×ÊÕßºÍ ·ÖÎö ¼Ò Ñо¿ £¬ÅжϹÉÊж¯Ì¬ÌṩÐÅÏ¢¡£Ëü²»½ö·´Ó³¹ÉƱÊг¡ÐÐÇé±ä¶¯µÄÖØÒªÖ¸±ê£¬¶øÇÒÊǹ۲⾭¼ÃÐÎÊÆºÍÖÜÆÚ×´¿ö ²Î¿¼ Ö¸±ê£¬±»ÊÓΪ¹ÉÊÐÐÐÇéµÄ¡°Ö¸Ê¾Æ÷¡±ºÍ¾­¼Ã¾°Æø±ä»¯µÄ¡°ÇçÓê±í¡±¡£ÔÚÎÒ¹ú´ó½£¬Ö÷ÒªÓÐÉÏÖ¤Ö¸ÊýºÍÉîÖ¤Ö¸Êý¡£
¡¡¡¡±àÖÆ¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñÖ¸ÊýµÄÒâÒåÔÚÓÚ
¡¡¡¡(1)×ۺϷ´Ó³¹ÉƱÊг¡¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñµÄ±ä¶¯·½ÏòºÍ±ä¶¯³Ì¶È¡£(2)¾Ý´Ë½øÐÐÒòËØ·ÖÎö£¬·ÖÎö¸÷ÖÖ¹É¼Û¶Ô¹ÉÆ±Êг¡¹É¼Û×ÜˮƽµÄÓ°Ïì³Ì¶È¡£(3)·ÖÎö¹É¼Û³¤ÆÚÄڵı䶯Ç÷ÊÆ¡£(4)ÔÚºê¹ÛÉÏ£¬¹ÉÖ¸¿ÉÒÔÔ¤²â¹úÃñ¾­¼Ã¾°ÆøÇé¿öºÍ ÆóÒµ ¾­ÓªÒµ¼¨¡£
¡¡¡¡(Ò»)¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñÖ¸ÊýµÄÒ»°ã¸ÅÄî
¡¡¡¡1.¹É¼Ûƽ¾ùÊý£ºËüÊÇÓÃÀ´·´Ó³¶àÖֹɯ±¼Û¸ñ±ä¶¯µÄÒ»°ãˮƽ¡£¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñƽ¾ùÊýÓÉ֤ȯ½»Ò×Ëù¡¢½ðÈÚ·þÎñ¹«Ë¾¡¢ÒøÐлòÐÂÎÅ»ú¹¹±àÖÆµÄ£¬ÓÃÒÔ·´Ó³Ö¤È¯Êг¡¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñÐÐÊб䶯µÄÒ»ÖÖ¼Û¸ñƽ¾ùÊý¡£
¡¡¡¡ÓÉÓÚ¹ÉÆ±Êг¡Éϸ÷ÉÏÊй«Ë¾¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñ±ä¶¯µÄ·½ÏòºÍ·ù¶È²»¿ÉÄÜÒ»Ö£¬ÎªÁ˺âÁ¿Óɸ÷Öֹɯ±¹²Í¬×é³ÉµÄ´óÊÐÕûÌå¼Û¸ñˮƽºÍÕû¸öÊг¡×ÜÌå±ä¶¯·½Ïò£¬Ò»Ð©×éÖ¯¿ªÊ¼±àÖÆÁË¹ÉÆ±¼Û¸ñƽ¾ùÊý¡£1981Äê6Ô£¬¡°µÀ.Çí˹¹«Ë¾¡±µÄ¹²Í¬´´Á¢ÕßÖ®Ò»¡ª¡ª²é¶û˹.ºàÀû.µÀÔÚ¡¶¿Í»§ÎçºóͨѶ¡·ÉÏÊ×ÏÈ·¢±íÁËÒ»×éºóÀ´±»³ÆÎª¡°µÀ.Çí˹ ¹¤Òµ ¹É¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñƽ¾ùÊý¡±£¬ÊÇÊÀ½çÉÏ×îÔçµÄ¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñƽ¾ùÊý£¬Ò»°ã ¼ÆËã ²½ÖèÊÇ£ºÏÈÑ¡¶¨Ò»Ð©Óдú±íÐÔµÄÑù±¾¹«Ë¾£¬ÔÙͨ¹ý¼òµ¥ËãÊõƽ¾ù·¨£¬ÒÔÕâЩ¹«Ë¾¹ÉƱÊÕÅ̼ÛÖ®ºÍ³ýÒÔÑù±¾¹«Ë¾ÊýµÃ³ö¡£¼ÆË㹫ʽΪ£º
¡¡¡¡P=(¦²Pi)£¯N
¡¡¡¡ÆäÖУ¬P´ú±í¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñƽ¾ùÊý£¬N´ú±íÑù±¾¹«Ë¾¸öÊý£¬Pi´ú±íµÚi¼Ò¹«Ë¾¹ÉƱ¼ÆËãÆÚµÄÊÕÅ̼ۡ£
¡¡¡¡2.»ùÆÚ£ºÖ¸ÔÚ±àÖÆ¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñÖ¸Êýʱ£¬±»È·¶¨×÷Ϊ¶Ô±È»ù´¡µÄʱÆÚ¡£Õâ¸öʱÆÚ¿ÉÒÔÊÇijһÈÕ£¬Ò²¿ÉÒÔÊÇijһÄê»òÈô¸ÉÄê¡£ÀýÈ磬Òâ´óÀûÉÌÒµÒøÐÐ¹ÉÆ±¼Û¸ñÖ¸Êý»ùÆÚÊÇÒ»Ä꣬¼´ÒÔijһÄêÈ«Äê¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñƽ¾ùÊý×÷Ϊ¶Ô±ÈµÄ»ù´¡£»±ê×¼.ÆÕ¶û500ÖÖºÍ400ÖÖ¹¤Òµ¹É¹É¼ÛÖ¸ÊýÔòÒÔ1941¡ª1943ÄêΪ»ùÆÚ¡£Í¨³£½Ï¶à²ÉÓÃÒÔijһÈÕ×÷Ϊ¼ÆËã»ùÆÚ¡£ÓÉÓÚ¹ÉÆ±¼Û¸ñÖ¸ÊýÊÇÓÉÏÖÆÚˮƽͬ»ùÆÚˮƽÏà±È½ÏµÃ³ö£¬Òò´Ë£¬»ùÆÚµÄÑ¡Ôñ¶ÔÖ¸Êý¾ø¶ÔÊý´óС¾ßÓÐÖØÒªÓ°Ïì¡£Ó°Ïì¹ÉƱ¼Û¸ñÖ¸Êý¾ø¶Ôˮƽ´óСµÄÁíÒ»¸öÖØÒªÒòËØÊÇ»ùÊý¡£

¹²7Ò³: 1 [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] ÏÂÒ»Ò³


Çå´úǰÆÚÕþ¸®µÄ»õ±ÒÕþ²ß¡ª¡ªÒÔ¾©Ê¦ÎªÖÐÐÄ
̸̸ÎÒ¹úÆÚ»õÒµµÄ¿çÒµºÏ×÷ÎÊÌâ
¹¤É̹ÜÀí | ¹¤¿ÆÂÛÎÄ | ²ÆÎñ¹ÜÀí | ¹ÜÀíѧ | ¹«¹²¹ÜÀí | ²ÆÕþ˰ÊÕ | ֤ȯ½ðÈÚ | »á¼ÆÉó¼Æ | ¼ÆËã»ú | ·¨ÂÉÂÛÎÄ | ҽҩѧ | ººÓïÑÔÎÄѧ
Éç»áÂÛÎÄ | ¹¤¿ÆÂÛÎÄ | Àí¿ÆÂÛÎÄ | ÎÄ»¯ÂÛÎÄ | ÒÕÊõÂÛÎÄ | ÎÄѧÂÛÎÄ | ÕÜѧÂÛÎÄ | ÕþÖÎÂÛÎÄ | Ó¢ÓïÂÛÎÄ | д×÷Ö¸µ¼ | ¼ÆËã»úÓ¦ÓÃ
www.zlunwen.com ÕÒÂÛÎÄÍø ® °æÈ¨ËùÓÐ ÍøÕ¾µØÍ¼